TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Economics
Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

What will diesel prices be tomorrow?

Volume:
$23,250

Above $5.595

 - Kalshi

Above $5.595 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.595

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,001
N/A
N/A
$2,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.575

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,806
N/A
N/A
$1,706
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.590

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,601
N/A
N/A
$1,600
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.610

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,378
N/A
N/A
$788
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.580

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.585

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.615

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$816
N/A
N/A
$808
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.605

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.660

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,860
N/A
N/A
$1,935
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.655

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,200
N/A
N/A
$2,200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.665

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,199
N/A
N/A
$2,199
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.625

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,258
N/A
N/A
$765
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.630

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,247
N/A
N/A
$1,237
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.675

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,225
N/A
N/A
$1,225
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.670

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,199
N/A
N/A
$1,199
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.620

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$667
N/A
N/A
$457
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.635

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$610
N/A
N/A
$610
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.645

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.640

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.650

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.600

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks diesel fuel price movements for a specific future date, reflecting potential changes influenced by supply chain dynamics, geopolitical factors, and market demand fluctuations. The outcome depends on whether the price surpasses certain thresholds, providing insight into economic conditions affecting energy markets.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for diesel prices on August 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price level, resolving to 'Yes' if the actual diesel price exceeds that threshold. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of prices reaching various points along a continuum, offering granular perspective on market expectations for diesel pricing volatility on the specified date.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this market uses a dynamic odds model where traders buy or sell contracts based on their outlook for the diesel price movement market. The current implied probability reflects collective trader sentiment, adjusted for liquidity and open interest. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices can shift rapidly with new supply-demand data, geopolitical developments, or energy policy updates. The platform’s real-time order book ensures that prices adjust continuously to balance buy and sell orders, with volume of $23,250 supporting market efficiency.

This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official energy reports, refinery data releases, and broader economic indicators that shape diesel pricing. The final settlement will match the market’s defined criteria against independent, publicly available sources, closing the market definitively at that point.

Several factors may influence this market before Sep 3, 2026, including weekly inventory reports from major energy agencies, unexpected supply disruptions, changes in global oil demand, and policy announcements from key governments. Weather events affecting transportation routes or refinery operations can also create short-term volatility. Traders will watch these signals closely, as each development could shift expectations for near-term diesel price direction and impact contract values.