TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Economics
Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

What will diesel prices be tomorrow?

Volume:
$40,716

Above $5.565

 - Kalshi

Above $5.565 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.565

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,945
N/A
N/A
$11,908
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.570

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,002
N/A
N/A
$2,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.575

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,002
N/A
N/A
$2,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.580

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,002
N/A
N/A
$2,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.600

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,522
N/A
N/A
$1,510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.560

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,239
N/A
N/A
$1,097
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.555

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$1,097
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.585

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,147
N/A
N/A
$1,147
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.610

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$438
N/A
N/A
$272
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.635

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,165
N/A
N/A
$1,740
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.645

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,490
N/A
N/A
$3,490
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.655

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,347
N/A
N/A
$1,778
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.640

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,250
N/A
N/A
$2,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.650

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,559
N/A
N/A
$1,377
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.615

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
$167
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.620

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.630

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.590

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.595

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.605

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.625

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks diesel fuel price movements for a specific future date, reflecting how global supply chains and energy markets respond to geopolitical events, seasonal demand fluctuations, and production changes. Prices can shift based on factors like crude oil costs, refinery operations, and economic policies.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the observed diesel price on August 24, 2026. Each market has a unique price threshold, ranging from $5.555 to $5.655. If the actual price exceeds a market's specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of diesel prices reaching various levels, offering granular insight into market expectations for that day.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $40,716 for the diesel price movement market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around future diesel price changes, with total volume at $40,716. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity on this single venue.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time aggregate of trader expectations. While analysts may publish target ranges or scenario-based projections, this market distills crowd wisdom into a single, continuously updated probability. Traders react instantly to news, inventory data, and geopolitical developments, often diverging from slower-moving expert opinions.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official energy statistics, government releases, and authoritative industry data sources to determine the final result. The process is designed to produce a clear, objective conclusion based on publicly available information.

Key signals include weekly inventory reports from major energy agencies, unexpected supply disruptions, changes in global demand, and policy announcements affecting fuel production or distribution. Geopolitical tensions, weather events impacting refineries, and shifts in seasonal consumption patterns can also trigger rapid moves. Traders will monitor these developments closely as they unfold before Aug 31, 2026.