TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

Diesel prices tomorrow

Volume:
$25,050

Above $5.540

 - Kalshi

Above $5.540 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.540

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,868
N/A
N/A
$3,868
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.545

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,971
N/A
N/A
$2,963
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.530

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,283
N/A
N/A
$2,283
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.515

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,151
N/A
N/A
$2,149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.535

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,926
N/A
N/A
$1,916
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.550

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,788
N/A
N/A
$1,708
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.520

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,655
N/A
N/A
$1,655
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.500

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
$1,275
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.505

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
$1,275
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.510

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
$1,275
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.525

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,193
N/A
N/A
$1,193
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.575

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$130
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.570

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.600

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,544
N/A
N/A
$1,306
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.590

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$523
N/A
N/A
$481
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.595

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.585

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.605

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.555

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.560

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.565

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.580

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.610

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.615

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.620

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This event tracks diesel fuel price movements for a specific future date, reflecting how global supply chains and energy markets respond to geopolitical events, seasonal demand shifts, and production changes. Prices can fluctuate based on a variety of factors including crude oil costs, refining capacity, and economic policies.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the diesel price on August 21, 2026 exceeds various threshold values ranging incrementally from $5.500 to $5.600. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, and the outcome for each market is determined by comparing the actual diesel price on that date to its respective threshold. If the actual price is higher than the specified threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of diesel prices reaching specific levels, offering granular insight into market expectations for price movements on the defined date.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent possible diesel price outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity indicated by the market’s volume of $25,050. This continuous pricing mechanism allows rapid adjustments to new information.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual diesel price movement as officially recorded, bringing closure to all open positions and determining profit or loss for participants based on real-world results.

Key signals that could shift this market include unexpected changes in crude oil supply, geopolitical developments affecting transport routes, shifts in seasonal demand, or policy announcements related to energy subsidies or taxes. Any major supply disruptions or inventory reports could also cause rapid repricing as traders adjust expectations ahead of the resolution date.