TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
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Economics
Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

What will diesel prices be tomorrow?

Volume:
$69,164

Above $5.465

 - Kalshi

Above $5.465 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.465

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,895
N/A
N/A
$4,918
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.460

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,348
N/A
N/A
$4,155
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.480

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,455
N/A
N/A
$4,377
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.475

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,770
N/A
N/A
$5,530
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.470

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,226
N/A
N/A
$4,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.485

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,930
N/A
N/A
$3,375
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.495

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,305
N/A
N/A
$1,397
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.420

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,991
N/A
N/A
$1,991
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.500

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,711
N/A
N/A
$2,048
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.490

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,492
N/A
N/A
$1,574
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.445

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,990
N/A
N/A
$1,524
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.425

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.430

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.435

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.440

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.450

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.455

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.505

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,282
N/A
N/A
$3,216
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.510

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,979
N/A
N/A
$2,688
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.520

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,804
N/A
N/A
$779
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.515

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$983
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks diesel fuel price movements on a specific future date, reflecting potential influences such as supply chain dynamics, geopolitical events, and market demand fluctuations. Participants assess whether price thresholds will be surpassed, providing insight into anticipated economic conditions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple sequential price thresholds for diesel fuel on August 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price level, and if the actual diesel price exceeds that level, the associated market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds progress incrementally from $5.420 to $5.520. The structure allows participants to bet on the likelihood of diesel prices reaching or surpassing various points along a continuum, with higher thresholds representing increasingly stringent conditions. All markets share the same resolution date and rely on a single, authoritative price source to determine outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $69,147 for the diesel price movement market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around future diesel price changes, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and betting activity specific to this economic indicator.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced outlook shaped by real-time trading. While analysts may issue reports based on models and historical trends, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust positions based on fresh news, supply chain updates, and geopolitical developments that could affect diesel prices.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official energy reports, refinery data releases, and macroeconomic indicators that confirm the direction of diesel price movement over the specified period.

Several indicators could shift this market before Aug 26, 2026. Key drivers include weekly inventory reports from major energy agencies, unexpected supply disruptions due to geopolitical tensions, changes in global demand from seasonal patterns, and policy announcements affecting fuel production or imports. Any surprise in these areas may cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their expectations about near-term diesel price direction.