TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

Diesel prices tomorrow

Volume:
$13,897

Above $5.390

 - Kalshi

Above $5.390 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.390

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,001
N/A
N/A
$2,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.395

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.400

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.405

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,062
N/A
N/A
$1,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.410

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,062
N/A
N/A
$1,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.415

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,062
N/A
N/A
$1,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.420

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.425

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.485

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,860
N/A
N/A
$1,777
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.475

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,341
N/A
N/A
$1,341
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.480

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,003
N/A
N/A
$1,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.490

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.430

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.435

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.440

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.445

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.450

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.455

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.460

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.465

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.470

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

Diesel prices fluctuate based on global supply chains, geopolitical events, and seasonal demand. Tracking these prices helps stakeholders anticipate cost changes that impact transportation and manufacturing. Accurate price predictions support budgeting and strategic planning across industries reliant on diesel fuel.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the diesel price on August 16, 2026, exceeds any of a series of specified thresholds ranging from $5.390 to $5.490. Each market corresponds to a distinct price level, and the outcome for each market is determined by comparing the actual closing diesel price on that date to its respective threshold. If the actual price is higher than the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of diesel prices reaching various levels, providing granular insight into potential price movements.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official energy reports, refinery data releases, and global supply updates as these feed into the final price check. The market settles based on the recorded diesel price at the exact close time, removing speculation about interpretation.

Key signals that could shift this market include surprise inventory draws or builds, geopolitical tensions affecting transport routes, and unexpected changes in refining capacity. Any major economic policy shift — especially from major oil-consuming or producing nations — may also cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will closely monitor energy news feeds and weekly government reports for early clues.