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$134.2b

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404,028

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Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

What will diesel prices be tomorrow?

Volume:
$26,223

Above $5.385

 - Kalshi

Above $5.385 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.385

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,104
N/A
N/A
$3,104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.410

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,753
N/A
N/A
$2,753
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.405

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,607
N/A
N/A
$1,604
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.400

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,604
N/A
N/A
$1,604
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.425

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.395

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,304
N/A
N/A
$1,304
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.375

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,204
N/A
N/A
$1,204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.380

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,204
N/A
N/A
$1,204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.390

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,204
N/A
N/A
$1,204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.430

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,041
N/A
N/A
$1,041
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.435

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.415

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.420

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$61
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.470

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,397
N/A
N/A
$2,397
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.465

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,300
N/A
N/A
$2,300
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.475

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,868
N/A
N/A
$1,868
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.460

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,594
N/A
N/A
$1,305
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.455

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.440

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
$133
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.445

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.450

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$97
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks diesel fuel price movements on a specific future date, reflecting potential influences such as supply chain dynamics, geopolitical events, and energy demand fluctuations. The outcome depends on whether the price surpasses various predefined thresholds.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple markets, each tied to a specific price threshold for diesel on August 15, 2026. All markets share the same resolution date and rely on the same underlying diesel price data source. For each market, if the observed diesel price exceeds the stated threshold, that market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. The structure allows participants to assess probabilities across a range of possible price outcomes, offering granular perspectives on where the price level might land.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the diesel price movement market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around future diesel price changes, with updates reflecting market sentiment and recent trading activity. The display includes current top-outcome probabilities and volume of $26,223 to help users gauge interest and liquidity in this market.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of diesel price trends. While analysts may incorporate macro-economic models and supply data, traders on Kalshi react to real-time news, inventory reports, and geopolitical developments. This can lead to divergence, especially ahead of key announcements or unexpected supply disruptions.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual diesel price movement over the specified period, closing the market based on observable, widely reported data rather than internal models or forecasts.

Between now and resolution, this market could shift based on crude oil price swings, changes in refining capacity, inventory levels, geopolitical tensions affecting transport routes, or policy announcements related to fuel subsidies or taxes. Any unexpected supply shocks or demand spikes—especially from major economies—may also cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust positions ahead of the Aug 22, 2026 settlement date.