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406,019

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Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

What will diesel prices be tomorrow?

Volume:
$51,549

Above $5.350

 - Kalshi

Above $5.350 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.350

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,650
N/A
N/A
$3,649
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.345

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,928
N/A
N/A
$4,928
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.340

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,360
N/A
N/A
$2,359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.320

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,359
N/A
N/A
$2,359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.325

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,359
N/A
N/A
$2,359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.330

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,359
N/A
N/A
$2,359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.335

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,359
N/A
N/A
$2,359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.355

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,298
N/A
N/A
$1,832
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,593
N/A
N/A
$1,380
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.315

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,360
N/A
N/A
$1,360
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.310

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,359
N/A
N/A
$1,359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.390

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.375

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$745
N/A
N/A
$739
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.370

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$643
N/A
N/A
$642
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.380

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
$503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.395

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$289
N/A
N/A
$269
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.365

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.360

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.385

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
$49
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.405

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,217
N/A
N/A
$7,611
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.410

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,005
N/A
N/A
$6,478
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks diesel fuel price movements on a specific future date, reflecting potential influences such as supply chain dynamics, geopolitical events, and energy market fluctuations. Participants assess whether price thresholds are met, providing insight into market expectations around fuel cost volatility.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for diesel prices on August 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price level, and the outcome for each depends on whether the actual diesel price exceeds its designated threshold. If the price is above the threshold specified in a market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The collective set of markets offers a granular view of price expectations across a range of potential values.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, historical price trends, and 24-hour volume for the diesel price movement market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around future diesel price changes, with real-time updates reflecting market sentiment and recent trading activity. The page displays current probability percentages and volume figures like $51,549 and $51,549, giving users a clear view of market dynamics and participant interest as the event approaches.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of diesel price trends. While analysts may incorporate macro factors and supply data over longer horizons, traders on Kalshi adjust positions rapidly in response to real-time news, inventory reports, and geopolitical developments that could shift prices tomorrow.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds by buying and selling contracts that represent possible diesel price movements. The current implied probability reflects the market’s expectation of where prices will land by the event date. Factors influencing pricing include recent fuel cost trends, supply-demand news, and macroeconomic signals, all interpreted through trader behavior on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price movement is determined by authoritative sources tracking diesel pricing at the relevant time window, and the market settles based on that verified data point.

Between now and resolution, this market could be moved by inventory reports, geopolitical developments affecting supply routes, weather events impacting transportation, or unexpected policy announcements from major economies. Any news that traders interpret as shifting near-term supply or demand for diesel can cause rapid repricing in the market as positions are adjusted ahead of Aug 20, 2026.