TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Economics
Diesel prices tomorrow
kalshi

What will the diesel price be tomorrow?

Volume:
$43,354

Above $5.320

 - Kalshi

Above $5.320 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.320

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,337
N/A
N/A
$5,796
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.325

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,483
N/A
N/A
$3,131
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.300

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,102
N/A
N/A
$2,761
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.295

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,358
N/A
N/A
$2,107
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.285

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,001
N/A
N/A
$251
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.310

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,852
N/A
N/A
$2,852
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.315

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,811
N/A
N/A
$2,426
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.290

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,667
N/A
N/A
$2,445
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.305

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,414
N/A
N/A
$1,499
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.275

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,936
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.280

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,601
N/A
N/A
$1,601
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.330

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,071
N/A
N/A
$653
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.270

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.345

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.340

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
$61
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.350

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.360

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.365

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.370

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.335

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.355

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks the national average diesel fuel price on a specific future date. It reflects how fuel costs fluctuate due to supply, demand, and geopolitical factors. The outcome depends on whether the price meets or exceeds certain thresholds.

Kalshi

If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.270, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.275, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.280, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.285, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.290, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.295, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.300, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.305, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.310, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.315, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.320, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.325, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.330, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.335, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.340, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.345, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.350, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.355, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.360, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.365, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 12, 2026 is above $5.370, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the diesel price movement market on Kalshi. It shows how traders expect diesel prices to change, with charts and metrics updated continuously. The volume of $43,354 reflects overall interest, while $43,354 highlights recent trading activity. This single-venue view isolates Kalshi's unique market dynamics without cross-platform aggregation.

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional analyst forecasts. Traders incorporate real-time data, sentiment, and short-term expectations that may not appear in longer-term reports. While analysts focus on macro trends, market participants react quickly to supply updates, geopolitical developments, and inventory reports. This creates a dynamic comparison where price movements reflect immediate market perception rather than consensus projections.

This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price movement is determined by authoritative sources tracking diesel pricing at that specific moment. No subjective interpretation is involved — the market settles based on observable, publicly recorded data that confirms whether prices rose, fell, or remained stable.