TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Diesel prices this week
kalshi

What will the diesel price be this week?

Volume:
$65,978

Above $5.44

 - Kalshi

Above $5.44 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.44

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,885
N/A
N/A
$5,555
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.52

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,259
N/A
N/A
$4,982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.60

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,132
N/A
N/A
$1,539
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.42

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,025
N/A
N/A
$2,555
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.54

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,879
N/A
N/A
$2,874
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.56

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,274
N/A
N/A
$2,121
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.50

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,270
N/A
N/A
$2,235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.58

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,806
N/A
N/A
$753
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.48

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,585
N/A
N/A
$1,555
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.46

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,146
N/A
N/A
$1,116
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.82

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,355
N/A
N/A
$7,354
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.78

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,448
N/A
N/A
$5,448
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.80

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,076
N/A
N/A
$5,076
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.76

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,023
N/A
N/A
$4,023
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,050
N/A
N/A
$2,620
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.62

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,628
N/A
N/A
$988
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.64

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,557
N/A
N/A
$1,526
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.68

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,475
N/A
N/A
$2,075
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.74

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,580
N/A
N/A
$1,580
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.66

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,401
N/A
N/A
$1,401
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.72

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,125
N/A
N/A
$1,075
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks the national average diesel fuel price as of a specific date in the future. It helps participants assess potential trends in energy costs based on economic indicators and market conditions. The outcome depends solely on the price being above certain thresholds at the close of that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the national average diesel price on August 31, 2026, exceeds specified threshold values ranging from $5.42 to $5.82. Each market has a unique threshold, and resolution is determined by comparing the actual closing price to that threshold. If the price is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The event uses a single, consistent date for all markets, ensuring uniformity in the evaluation process. Thresholds are linearly incremented by two cents, providing a granular view of potential price movements.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the weekly diesel price market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing diesel price movements over the current week, with updates reflecting market sentiment and recent data. The dashboard highlights the top outcome’s probability and tracks trading volume of $3,186 to indicate interest. This single-venue view lets you see how Kalshi users collectively bet on diesel price direction for the week.

This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be compared against the official data source at that time, and the market will settle accordingly based on where diesel prices close that week.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including unexpected changes in crude oil supply, geopolitical developments affecting transport routes, or sudden shifts in demand from key industries. Government policies, weather disruptions, and weekly inventory reports also often drive rapid movements in diesel pricing, influencing trader sentiment and odds on Kalshi.