TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above $5.50
- Kalshi
Above $5.50 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 24, 2026
Latest in Economics
Closed: Aug 24, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks diesel fuel price levels for a specific calendar week in the future. It examines whether the national average diesel price exceeds various thresholds, providing insight into potential energy cost trends. The outcome depends on the actual price recorded on the specified date.
Kalshi
If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.24, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.26, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.28, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.30, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.32, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.34, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.36, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.38, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.40, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.42, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.44, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.46, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.48, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.50, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.52, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.54, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.56, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.58, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.60, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.62, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Diesel Price on August 24, 2026 is above $5.64, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of diesel price expectations. While analysts may incorporate macro trends and supply data over longer horizons, traders in this market react quickly to short-term news, inventory reports, and geopolitical developments. This can lead to tighter or more volatile odds, especially around key reporting periods, where market prices may diverge from or align closely with published expert predictions.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the official diesel price as recorded for the week in question, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process based on widely accepted data sources.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including weekly petroleum inventory reports, changes in crude oil futures, geopolitical developments affecting supply routes, and unexpected weather events that impact transportation or refining capacity. Any release that alters the near-term outlook for diesel demand or supply will likely cause rapid re-pricing, especially given the short timeframe and responsiveness of traders to breaking news.
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