TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 2:27 PM EST
Kalshi
A group of Democratic candidates all successfully win their respective 2026 Senate primary elections across multiple states.
If ALL of the following Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primary elections: Juliana Stratton in Illinois, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow OR Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, and Ed Markey in Massachusetts, then the market resolves to Yes.
Key catalysts include primary election results as they occur, major candidate endorsements or withdrawals, polling shifts in individual races, fundraising announcements, debate performances, and grassroots momentum indicators. Scandals or gaffes affecting any listed candidate could sharply lower sweep odds. Conversely, strong early primary victories or unified progressive coalition-building could raise them. National political developments—shifts in party leadership, legislative wins or losses, or changes in voter enthusiasm—may also influence trader expectations. Real-time news flow and social media sentiment often precede formal polling updates, making them important leading indicators for market repricing.