TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$19,781

Above 9.0%

 - Kalshi

Above 9.0% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 9.0%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,019
N/A
N/A
$2,019
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 12.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,012
N/A
N/A
$2,012
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 11.2%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,919
N/A
N/A
$1,919
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 12.7%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,219
N/A
N/A
$1,219
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 15.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,111
N/A
N/A
$3,111
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 13.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,000
N/A
N/A
$3,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 14.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,300
N/A
N/A
$2,300
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 13.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,800
N/A
N/A
$1,800
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 20.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the adoption level of DeepSeek's AI services relative to Vercel across leading research institutions on a specific date. It reflects potential shifts in preference among top AI development teams regarding which platform they use for their projects. The outcome depends on whether usage thresholds are met, indicating varying degrees of popularity or effectiveness.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on October 4, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. Kalshi will determine the outcome at 10:00 AM ET on October 5, 2026, using the updated chart value for that date. Each market has a specific threshold—ranging from 9.0% to 20.0%—and resolves to 'Yes' only if the measured share exceeds its respective threshold. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately against the same data point. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.