TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What will DeepSeek's share be on Oct 28, 2026?

Volume:
$16,314

Above 11.9%

 - Kalshi

Above 11.9% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 11.9%

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,909
N/A
N/A
$3,611
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 11.6%

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,533
N/A
N/A
$3,429
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 11.2%

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,458
N/A
N/A
$3,272
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
$97
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 13.6%

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,506
N/A
N/A
$3,063
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 13.1%

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
$76
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 14.5%

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$444
N/A
N/A
$158
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.5%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$407
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 12.6%

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the market perception of DeepSeek's adoption rate relative to Vercel for AI processing tasks on a specific future date. It reflects expectations about how much computational work will be allocated to DeepSeek through Vercel's infrastructure among leading research institutions. The outcome depends entirely on actual usage statistics recorded the following day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top laboratories on October 28, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on October 29, 2026. Any market with a threshold value will resolve to 'Yes' if the recorded percentage exceeds its specific threshold. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official relationship with Vercel, and all brand elements belong to their respective owners. The structure allows multiple simultaneous thresholds to trigger resolution, with each market independently evaluating its own percentage requirement against the same underlying data point.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the DeepSeek Vercel market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes for DeepSeek’s share of requests on Vercel is changing over time. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $14,695 and the total volume traded is $16,314. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of various scenarios as we approach the resolution date. The dashboard is a key tool for anyone following this market.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. In this case, the market represents a weighted average of many individual predictions about DeepSeek’s future performance on Vercel. While analyst forecasts often provide detailed reasoning and models, this market offers a simple, quantifiable measure of belief. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates different factors influencing the outcome than those considered by analysts, or simply reflect differing levels of confidence.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for DeepSeek’s share of requests. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. This means the odds are constantly evolving as more participants weigh in and react to developments related to DeepSeek and Vercel.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the publicly reported share of requests handled by DeepSeek on the Vercel platform on October 28, 2026. The precise methodology for determining this share will be based on data released by Vercel, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment. Traders should monitor announcements from Vercel as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about data release schedules.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding DeepSeek’s model improvements, new features, or partnerships with Vercel would be key catalysts. Changes in Vercel’s platform strategy or the competitive landscape within the AI model serving space could also have a substantial impact. Unexpected performance issues with DeepSeek’s models, or significant shifts in developer adoption of the platform, would likely lead to price adjustments. Monitoring news and developments related to both DeepSeek and Vercel is crucial for understanding potential market movements.