TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 26, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What will DeepSeek's share be on Oct 26, 2026?

Volume:
$18,750

Above 13.3%

 - Kalshi

Above 13.3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 13.3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,754
N/A
N/A
$3,754
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 12.9%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,742
N/A
N/A
$3,742
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 11.2%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,311
N/A
N/A
$3,311
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 12.4%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,266
N/A
N/A
$3,266
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 13.8%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,200
N/A
N/A
$3,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 16.8%

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,477
N/A
N/A
$1,455
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 10.1%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 11.8%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 14.6%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the performance of DeepSeek's usage relative to Vercel in AI Gateway requests from leading research laboratories on a specific date. It measures how much demand shifts toward DeepSeek's services within a competitive tech ecosystem. Outcomes depend on whether usage thresholds are met, reflecting potential changes in developer preferences or infrastructure strategies.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on October 26, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. Kalshi will determine the outcome at 10:00 AM ET on October 27, 2026, using the updated chart value for that date. Each market has a specific threshold—ranging from 10.1% to 16.8%—and resolves to 'Yes' only if the measured share exceeds its respective threshold. All markets operate independently, meaning a higher threshold market may resolve differently from a lower one, even with the same underlying data. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the DeepSeek request share market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the probability of different outcomes for DeepSeek’s share of requests on Vercel as of October 26, 2026. The current volume is $15,439, and the total volume traded to date is $18,750. This allows you to monitor market sentiment and see how it changes over time as new information becomes available.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts offers insights into the wisdom of the crowd versus expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives and real-time adjustments based on new data, potentially differing from static analyst predictions. While analysts may provide initial estimates, the dynamic nature of this market allows for continuous recalibration as the resolution date approaches. It’s a fascinating way to gauge collective intelligence on the future performance of DeepSeek.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for DeepSeek’s request share. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that incorporates new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on the verified share of requests handled by DeepSeek on the Vercel platform on October 26, 2026. The final share will be sourced from Vercel’s publicly available data and will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from DeepSeek regarding new features, performance improvements, or partnerships would likely impact trader sentiment. Similarly, any significant changes to Vercel’s infrastructure or policies could influence the market. Broader trends in the AI landscape, such as the release of competing models or shifts in developer preferences, could also play a role. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the fluctuations in this market.