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2,984,640,614

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$1,971,286,090

419,492

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Science and Technology
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What will DeepSeek's share be on Oct 20, 2026?

Volume:
$19,999

Above 12.2%

 - Kalshi

Above 12.2% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 12.2%

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,952
N/A
N/A
$4,942
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.0%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,250
N/A
N/A
$2,451
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 11.3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,026
N/A
N/A
$2,026
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.9%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,810
N/A
N/A
$1,810
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10.4%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,688
N/A
N/A
$1,688
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 8.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,595
N/A
N/A
$1,595
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,226
N/A
N/A
$1,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10.6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,226
N/A
N/A
$1,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 11.0%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,226
N/A
N/A
$1,226
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the adoption level of DeepSeek's AI services through Vercel on a specific date, reflecting potential shifts in developer preferences and integration trends within leading research institutions. It provides insight into how widely a particular AI tool is utilized in advanced technology environments over a defined timeframe.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on October 20, 2026, exceeds specified percentage thresholds, ranging from 8.1% to 12.2%. The share is measured and rounded to one decimal place. Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM ET on October 21, 2026, using the updated chart value for the previous day. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold, with a "Yes" outcome if the measured share surpasses its respective threshold. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the DeepSeek Vercel market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $17,361 and the total volume is $19,999. You can see how the implied probability of DeepSeek's share of requests exceeding 9.6% on Vercel has shifted over time via the price chart. This allows participants to monitor market sentiment and activity related to this specific prediction.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts. However, generally, prediction markets can aggregate information from a diverse range of viewpoints, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than individual expert opinions. If analysts predict a certain percentage share for DeepSeek on Vercel, this market allows traders to express their agreement or disagreement through buying and selling contracts, resulting in a collective prediction. The market’s current pricing reflects the wisdom of the crowd.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the event occurring – in this case, DeepSeek's share of requests on Vercel exceeding a certain threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of market participants' beliefs about the future outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported share of requests handled by DeepSeek on Vercel's AI Gateway, as measured by Vercel. The final price will reflect whether DeepSeek’s share exceeded the threshold defined by the market contracts. Traders will then be paid out or required to pay based on the final outcome and their positions.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Announcements from DeepSeek or Vercel regarding performance improvements, new features, or partnerships could influence trader sentiment. Broader trends in the AI landscape, such as the adoption rate of AI models or changes in the competitive environment, could also play a role. Any news regarding Vercel’s AI Gateway usage or the performance of competing AI models would likely impact the pricing of this market, as traders adjust their expectations.