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DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What will DeepSeek's share be on Oct 18, 2026?

Volume:
$25,522

Above 9.9%

 - Kalshi

Above 9.9% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 11:59 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 9.9%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,028
N/A
N/A
$5,028
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 12.0%

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,418
N/A
N/A
$3,406
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 11.4%

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,519
N/A
N/A
$2,519
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 14.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,246
N/A
N/A
$2,246
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 12.3%

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,787
N/A
N/A
$1,787
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 13.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,672
N/A
N/A
$1,672
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10.9%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,666
N/A
N/A
$1,666
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 12.7%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,472
N/A
N/A
$1,472
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 15.0%

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,714
N/A
N/A
$4,534
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the adoption level of DeepSeek's AI services relative to Vercel across leading research institutions on a specific date. It measures how much of the AI processing requests handled by Vercel are attributed to DeepSeek's models. The outcome depends on whether this proportion meets or exceeds various thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on October 18, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. The final determination will be made at 10:00 AM ET on October 19, 2026, using the updated chart value for the previous day. Each market has a specific threshold—ranging from 9.9% to 15.0%—and resolves to 'Yes' if the measured share exceeds its respective threshold. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the DeepSeek request share market displays the current odds of DeepSeek achieving various shares of requests on Vercel’s AI Gateway as of October 18, 2026. You can view the price history, which shows how the market has priced in new information over time, as well as the 24-hour volume, currently at $22,986. The total volume traded on this market is $25,407. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and gauge the level of interest in different outcomes.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for DeepSeek’s future market share. However, prediction markets often aggregate a diverse range of opinions and can reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst predictions. If analysts generally believe DeepSeek will have a substantial share, we might see higher prices for outcomes reflecting that expectation in this market. Conversely, skepticism from analysts could lead to lower prices.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and offers, and the market price reflects the point of highest buying interest and lowest selling interest. Traders are constantly adjusting their prices based on new information and their own beliefs about the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability that DeepSeek will achieve a specific request share on Vercel’s AI Gateway, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the verified percentage of requests handled by DeepSeek on Vercel’s AI Gateway on October 18, 2026. The final market price will reflect the actual share achieved by DeepSeek, providing a clear indication of how accurately the market predicted the outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from DeepSeek regarding new model capabilities or partnerships could shift expectations. Developments in the broader AI landscape, such as breakthroughs from competing labs or changes in Vercel’s AI Gateway strategy, would also be influential. Unexpected news regarding the performance or reliability of DeepSeek’s models, or shifts in developer preferences, could all lead to price movements in this market as traders react to the changing information.