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416,910

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DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What is DeepSeek’s share of requests on Nov 4, 2026?

Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$34
Volume 24h:
$18N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$34
110%

Above 11.8%

 - Kalshi

Above 11.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:09h:56m

DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.8%

77%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 86¢ buys you 116 shares | Odds: 77% Total Payout: $116 | Net Profit: $16 Multiplier: 1.16x | ROI: 16% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 11.8%

Trade
77%
Yes 86¢No 30¢
16¢
N/A
$3
0%
N/A
$3
2d 9h 56m
Active
kalshi

Above 13.2%

Trade
59%
Yes 65¢No 49¢
14¢
N/A
$16
0%
N/A
$16
2d 9h 56m
Active
kalshi

Above 14.2%

Trade
50%
Yes 65¢No 78¢
43¢
N/A
$15
0%
N/A
$15
2d 9h 56m
Active
kalshi

Above 12.2%

Trade
N/A
N/A
23¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 9h 56m
Active
kalshi

Above 12.7%

Trade
N/A
N/A
22¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 9h 56m
Active
kalshi

Above 13.5%

Trade
N/A
N/A
15¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 9h 56m
Active
kalshi

Above 13.8%

Trade
N/A
N/A
45¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 9h 56m
Active
kalshi

Above 14.8%

Trade
N/A
N/A
47¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 9h 56m
Active
kalshi

Above 16.3%

Trade
N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 9h 56m
Active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the adoption level of DeepSeek's AI services relative to Vercel across leading research institutions on a specific date. It reflects potential shifts in preference among top AI developers and the influence of different platforms on advanced technology workflows.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on November 4, 2026 exceeds specified percentage thresholds, ranging from 11.8% to 16.3%. The share is measured and rounded to one decimal place. Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM ET on November 5, 2026, using the updated chart value for November 4. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. Each market’s outcome depends solely on whether the measured share surpasses its unique threshold.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the DeepSeek Vercel market tracks the current odds of DeepSeek achieving various shares of requests on Vercel's AI Gateway as of November 4, 2026. You’ll find the implied probability of different outcomes, a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $18. The total volume traded on this market is $34, indicating the level of interest from forecasters. This allows you to monitor how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the predictions in this market to specific analyst forecasts for DeepSeek’s market share. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse information and expert opinions more efficiently than traditional polls or individual analyst reports. If analysts generally believe DeepSeek will have a certain share, we would expect to see that reflected in the price of this market. Discrepancies between market prices and analyst expectations can signal opportunities for informed traders, or suggest that the market is incorporating information not yet public.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will adjust to reflect the latest consensus. Currently, the most likely outcome, according to the market, is DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.2%.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on the publicly reported share of requests handled by DeepSeek on Vercel’s AI Gateway on November 4, 2026. The final share will be determined by Vercel’s official data and verified against credible public sources. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the actual performance of DeepSeek.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 5, 2026. Major announcements from DeepSeek regarding new model releases, partnerships with Vercel, or improvements in their AI Gateway integration would be key catalysts. Similarly, news about the performance of competing AI models or changes to Vercel’s AI Gateway infrastructure could impact predictions. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as increased adoption of AI-powered tools or shifts in developer preferences, could also influence trading activity in this market.