TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will DeepSeek’s share be?

Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$5,673
Volume 24h:
$5,534
29,025%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$5,540
29,057%

Above 13.2%

 - Kalshi

Above 13.2% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 13h:15m:14s

DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.2%

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 13.2%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$2,001
0%
N/A
$2,001
13h 15m
Active
kalshi

Above 12.4%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 8¢
8¢
N/A
$1,012
0%
N/A
$1,012
13h 15m
Active
kalshi

Above 12.6%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 7¢
7¢
N/A
$1,002
0%
N/A
$1,002
13h 15m
Active
kalshi

Above 12.0%

Trade
99%
6%
Yes 100¢No 7¢
7¢
N/A
$324
708%
N/A
$284
13h 15m
Active
kalshi

Above 13.1%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 7¢
7¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
13h 15m
Active
kalshi

Above 11.5%

Trade
88%
Yes 100¢No 7¢
7¢
N/A
$40
0%
N/A
N/A
13h 15m
Active
kalshi

Above 14.0%

Trade
99%
18%
Yes 100¢No 82¢
82¢
N/A
$1,043
2,508%
N/A
$1,003
13h 15m
Active
kalshi

Above 15.0%

Trade
1%
42%
Yes 95¢No 100¢
95¢
N/A
$51
167%
N/A
$38
13h 15m
Active
kalshi

Above 10.8%

Trade
N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 15m
Active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the adoption level of DeepSeek's AI services relative to Vercel across leading research institutions during a specific month. It reflects how much demand shifts toward DeepSeek's platform among top labs, indicating competitive dynamics in AI infrastructure usage.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on November 2, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. Kalshi will determine the outcome at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026, using the updated chart value for that date. Each market has a specific threshold—ranging from 10.8% to 15.0%—and resolves to 'Yes' only if the measured share exceeds its respective threshold. The markets are independent, meaning each evaluates its own condition separately. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the DeepSeek request share market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $5,534 and the total volume traded is $5,673. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their beliefs about the proportion of requests handled by DeepSeek within Vercel's AI Gateway on November 2, 2026. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how these beliefs are evolving as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. It's a key resource for anyone following this evolving market.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Currently, there are no widely available analyst forecasts specifically addressing DeepSeek’s request share on Vercel’s AI Gateway in 2026. However, if polls or surveys were to emerge indicating a certain expected share, this market provides a real-money alternative for expressing and testing those beliefs. Discrepancies between the market price and any available forecasts could highlight areas of disagreement or uncertainty regarding DeepSeek’s future performance and adoption within the AI landscape.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different possible outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates the implied probability of DeepSeek achieving a specific share of requests on Vercel's AI Gateway, and traders can use this information to make informed decisions about buying or selling contracts.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the verified share of requests processed by DeepSeek through Vercel’s AI Gateway on November 2, 2026. The exact methodology for determining this share will rely on publicly available data from Vercel, and the resolution will reflect the most accurate and reliable information available at that time. Traders should monitor relevant news and announcements from Vercel as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential developments.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major announcements from Vercel regarding the AI Gateway, updates on DeepSeek’s model capabilities and adoption rates, and broader trends in the AI landscape are all potential catalysts. Positive news about DeepSeek’s performance or increased integration with Vercel could drive up prices, while negative news or the emergence of competing AI models could push them down. Any significant developments in the field of large language models and AI infrastructure will likely impact trader sentiment and influence the price of contracts in this market.