TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

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2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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DeepSeek market share this week
kalshi

What will DeepSeek's market share be this week?

Volume:
$34,404

Above 22.5%

 - Kalshi

Above 22.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 22.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,742
N/A
N/A
$5,885
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 23.5%

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,865
N/A
N/A
$4,087
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 21.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,137
N/A
N/A
$2,502
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 24.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,887
N/A
N/A
$3,761
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 27.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,489
N/A
N/A
$3,265
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 25.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,387
N/A
N/A
$3,787
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 26.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,896
N/A
N/A
$3,283
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the weekly usage performance of the DeepSeek AI model within a specific platform's ecosystem. It evaluates whether DeepSeek achieves certain usage thresholds relative to other models during a defined timeframe. The outcome depends entirely on independent platform analytics for that week.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on DeepSeek’s measured text market share by model author on OpenRouter for the week of August 31, 2026, as reported at 10:00 AM ET Monday following that week. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 21.5% to 27.5%); if DeepSeek’s share exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. A critical condition applies: if DeepSeek’s share is not separately identified in the source data and is grouped under a collective category such as “Others,” all markets within the event automatically resolve to No regardless of implied percentages. Additionally, Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with or endorsement of the governing benchmark or its data sources, and all referenced trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price movements for the DeepSeek market share market, along with daily trading volume of $4,493. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes this week, giving you a real-time view of market sentiment and activity.

On Kalshi, the current odds in this market reflect trader expectations, which can diverge from or align with analyst forecasts. Where analysts publish their own projections, you may see differences or agreements with the market price here. Comparing the two can help you spot potential mispricings or emerging trends in sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will reflect the actual market share data for the week, closing the market based on observable facts from reliable reports.

Key signals that could shift this market include major product announcements, significant changes in user adoption rates, financial performance reports, or regulatory developments affecting the companies involved. Any news that impacts perceived market share or competitive positioning may cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their bets, influencing odds and pricing.