TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the price of a specific type of computer memory component reaches certain thresholds by a set date. The outcome depends on real-time market data for that component at a specified time, reflecting trends in technology and supply-demand dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT spot price at 4 PM ET on September 11, 2026, as reported by Ornn. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data prior to the expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the data will not affect resolution. All prices are evaluated in USD and rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a unique threshold, and resolution is determined by whether the reported spot price exceeds the respective threshold.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may publish target prices or trend assessments, this market reflects the aggregated bets of traders who are actively placing money behind their convictions. The resulting probability distribution can diverge from or align with expert opinions, depending on recent data, supply chain news, and market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price point will be determined by authoritative industry sources or official product listings at that time, closing all positions based on the actual market observation.
Key signals include major product announcements, shifts in manufacturing output, changes to component pricing from suppliers, and macroeconomic factors affecting semiconductor demand. Any news that alters the expected supply-demand balance or consumer uptake could cause rapid re-pricing in this market as traders adjust their positions ahead of the final settlement.