TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the price of a specific type of computer memory technology reaches certain thresholds by a set date. The outcome depends on real-time market data for that memory product at a specific time, reflecting predictions about technological and economic trends in the semiconductor industry.
All markets resolve based on the DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT spot price as reported by Ornn at 4 PM ET on August 07, 2026. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data prior to the expiration time will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data are disregarded. All prices are evaluated using the USD iteration of the index and rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a distinct threshold price; resolution is "Yes" if the spot price exceeds the respective threshold, otherwise "No".
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may publish their price targets or reports based on industry trends, the odds here capture a crowdsourced outlook influenced by real-time trading activity. Comparisons can reveal whether the market is more bullish or bearish than consensus estimates, helping to spot potential mispricings or emerging shifts in sentiment among active participants.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by authoritative industry sources or official publications that confirm the DDR5 16Gb price level as of the specified date, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Key signals include major technology announcements, supply chain updates, shifts in consumer demand, or regulatory changes affecting memory pricing. Earnings reports from leading semiconductor companies, inventory adjustments, or geopolitical events impacting production could also sway trader sentiment. Any credible forecast or data release that influences expectations for DDR5 16Gb pricing may cause rapid movements in this market as participants reassess their positions.