TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the spot price of a specific DDR5 memory module on a set date, determining if it exceeds various threshold values. The outcome depends solely on the price data available at the specified time, reflecting market conditions for this technology product.
All markets resolve based on the DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 spot price at 4 PM ET on September 11, 2026, as reported by Ornn. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data prior to expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the price data are disregarded. All resolutions use the USD iteration of the index, with values rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a unique threshold price, and resolves to 'Yes' only if the spot price exceeds its respective threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of market expectations. While analysts may provide detailed reports based on technical specifications and supply chain data, traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on real-time sentiment, recent news, and inferred demand trends. This can lead to divergence, especially if new information emerges that isn’t yet reflected in formal forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price point will be determined by authoritative industry sources or official product announcements, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including new product launches, changes in manufacturing yields, shifts in consumer demand, or macroeconomic factors affecting semiconductor pricing. Any major news from leading technology firms or supply chain updates could also cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders react to evolving expectations.