TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the spot price of a specific type of computer memory module on a particular date. The outcome depends on whether the price meets or exceeds certain thresholds, reflecting market expectations about supply, demand, and technological trends in the semiconductor industry.
All markets resolve based on the DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 spot price as reported by Ornn at 4 PM ET on August 28, 2026. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data prior to the deadline will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the price are ignored, and all values are rounded to two decimal places in USD. Each market has a unique threshold, and resolution is determined by whether the reported price exceeds the respective threshold.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of market expectations. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and fundamental analysis, this market aggregates trader behavior in real time, potentially capturing short-term shifts or sentiment that aren't yet reflected in formal reports. The resulting odds can diverge noticeably from consensus forecasts, especially ahead of key industry announcements or macroeconomic signals.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the market price reflecting the most recent trade execution. The odds update dynamically based on order book depth and trading volume, allowing participants to hedge or speculate on price direction. Market depth and liquidity can vary, influencing how quickly prices adjust to new information or shifts in trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price point is determined by authoritative industry sources or official publications at the close of the specified week, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process aligned with real-world market data.
Key signals that could shift this market include major technology announcements, supply chain updates, significant changes in consumer demand, or broader macroeconomic shifts affecting semiconductor pricing. Earnings reports from leading manufacturers, inventory levels, and geopolitical developments also often influence trader sentiment and can cause rapid movements in market odds as new information emerges.