TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Robert White
- Kalshi
Robert White - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 17, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Jun 17, 10:12 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party's nomination for D.C.'s delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 election cycle. On Kalshi, Robert White holds 73.0% probability as the leading contender, while Brooke Pinto stands at 23.0%. The market resolves according to the official Democratic Party nomination outcome. Watch the D.C. Democratic Party's nominating process and candidate announcements leading up to the November 3, 2026 general election date, which will determine the final nominee.
Kalshi
If Eleanor Holmes Norton wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert White wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooke Pinto wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kinney Zalesne wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Deirdre Brown wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gordon Chaffin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Greg Maye wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kelly Mikel Williams wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacque Patterson wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janeese Lewis George wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate real-time campaign developments, fundraising data, and insider sentiment that polls may lag. While polls capture voter preference at a single moment, prediction markets reward accurate forecasting with financial incentive, attracting informed participants who monitor delegate selection dynamics in DC. Comparing market odds to available polling can reveal whether traders are pricing in factors polls have not yet captured, or conversely, whether markets are overweighting recent noise relative to structural fundamentals.
The market resolves on Nov 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of the DC Democratic House delegate nomination process. The market will settle based on which candidate is formally designated as the Democratic nominee for the at-large House seat. Traders should monitor official DC Democratic Party announcements and nomination procedures to understand the exact criteria and timeline that will trigger final settlement.
Key catalysts include candidate endorsements from DC party leadership, fundraising announcements, debate performances, and grassroots organizing milestones. Changes in candidate viability—such as withdrawals or new entrants—can shift probabilities sharply. Media coverage highlighting a candidate's record or policy positions may influence trader sentiment. Internal party dynamics, delegate commitments, and shifts in voter enthusiasm across DC neighborhoods could also move odds. Traders should track DC Democratic Party communications, local news, and candidate campaign announcements for signals that reshape expectations about the nomination outcome.
