TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official DAX Index closing price for DAX (DAX) on Wednesday, June 3, 2026 is higher than the official DAX Index closing price for DAX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official DAX Index closing price for DAX (DAX) on Wednesday, June 3, 2026 is lower than the official DAX Index closing price for DAX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If DAX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by DAX Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on DAX direction by Jun 3, 2026. These odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because markets incorporate live sentiment, positioning, and breaking economic data. While analysts may issue point forecasts or directional calls based on technical or fundamental analysis, prediction markets aggregate distributed information through price discovery. Comparing the two reveals whether professional consensus and crowd wisdom align or signal different risk assessments for the DAX's June 3 close.
The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official DAX closing level on June 3, 2026. If the DAX closes higher than its opening level on that date, the Up outcome wins; if it closes lower, the Down outcome wins. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout automatically upon settlement. The exact closing price and time are sourced from official market data to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Major catalysts for DAX movement include European Central Bank policy announcements, eurozone economic data releases, corporate earnings reports from DAX-listed companies, and geopolitical developments affecting European markets. Currency fluctuations in the euro, global equity sentiment, and sector-specific news can also drive significant intraday swings. Traders monitor macroeconomic calendars for inflation, employment, and manufacturing data that influence investor risk appetite. Technical levels and options expiry dynamics may create additional volatility as June 3 approaches, shifting market odds on Polymarket.