TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official DAX Index closing price for DAX (DAX) on Thursday, June 11, 2026 is higher than the official DAX Index closing price for DAX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official DAX Index closing price for DAX (DAX) on Thursday, June 11, 2026 is lower than the official DAX Index closing price for DAX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If DAX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by DAX Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official DAX Index closing price for DAX (DAX) on Thursday, June 11, 2026 is higher than the official DAX Index closing price for DAX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official DAX Index closing price for DAX (DAX) on Thursday, June 11, 2026 is lower than the official DAX Index closing price for DAX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If DAX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by DAX Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
On Polymarket, the DAX Up or Down on June 11 event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market probability reflects the collective bets of all participants; a higher price for the Up outcome indicates stronger bullish conviction. Prices move continuously as new trades execute, with the spread between bid and ask reflecting liquidity and uncertainty. Traders profit if their chosen outcome occurs at resolution, creating direct financial incentives for accurate pricing. The market's depth and volume determine how easily large positions can be entered or exited without significant slippage.
The DAX Up or Down on June 11 market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official closing price of the DAX index on that date. Traders who correctly predicted whether the DAX closed higher or lower relative to its opening price on June 11 receive their payout. The market uses verified financial data sources to confirm the final DAX level, ensuring objective and transparent settlement. Once the market resolves, all positions are settled automatically and traders can withdraw their winnings or reinvest in other events.
Several catalysts could shift DAX sentiment before June 11. European economic data releases, including inflation reports, employment figures, and PMI surveys, directly influence German equities and broader eurozone sentiment. Central bank communications from the ECB regarding interest rates or monetary policy can trigger significant moves. Corporate earnings announcements from DAX-listed companies like Siemens, SAP, and Deutsche Telekom may drive individual stock prices and index composition. Geopolitical developments, energy price volatility, and global risk sentiment also impact the DAX. Market participants monitor these signals continuously, adjusting their positions on Polymarket as new information emerges, which is reflected in real-time odds changes.