TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
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All
Politics
Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?
kalshi

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?

Volume:
$10,074

Before Jan 1, 2027

 - Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 11:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,427
N/A
N/A
$2,894
3mo 1w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,504
N/A
N/A
$2,575
3mo 1w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Before Nov 1, 2026

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$84
3mo 1w 3d
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks whether a high-ranking government official will step down from their position within a specified timeframe. The outcome depends on verified changes in their official status, reflecting real-world political dynamics and leadership transitions. Such movements can result from various factors including policy disagreements, personal decisions, or broader administrative shifts.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if Dan Driscoll ceases to hold the position of Secretary of the Army before January 1, 2027, regardless of the specific date within that window. A valid departure requires that Driscoll formally and permanently vacate the role, with the settlement date determined by when he officially stops holding the office according to authoritative records. Temporary absences—such as leaves, suspensions, or recusals—do not count unless they lead to a permanent end of his tenure. If Driscoll dies while in office, all contracts settle at the last fair price, as determined by the Exchange. A prior re-occupation of the role after a brief vacancy does not nullify the initial departure. Any form of cessation—resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, term expiration without renewal, recall, or other permanent end to his service—counts toward a Yes outcome, encompassing both voluntary and involuntary exits.