TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 6:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Compared to public polling averages, this market often reflects a more nuanced outlook, incorporating factors beyond simple voter preferences such as media narratives, strategic timing, and trader sentiment. While polls provide a snapshot of public opinion, prediction market odds synthesize these elements with financial incentives, sometimes showing higher or lower expectations for CZ post activity depending on recent events and announced plans.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of CZ posts between September 4 and September 11, 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be determined by publicly available records, and the market will settle accordingly based on whether the actual number of posts meets the defined thresholds for each possible outcome.
Key signals that could shift this market include official announcements about CZ’s speaking engagements or social media schedules, major political developments influencing CZ’s visibility, and unexpected events such as health issues or controversies that affect posting frequency. Traders will also react to any significant changes in media coverage or public engagement metrics that suggest a higher or lower likelihood of CZ posting within the specified timeframe.