TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Unlike traditional polls, this market reflects the aggregated view of active traders who bet with their own funds. While polls may capture public opinion through surveys, prediction market odds incorporate real-time information, sentiment shifts, and betting behavior. As a result, this market often reacts faster to breaking news or perceived changes in CZ's posting habits.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of CZ's posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026, will settle the market based on publicly available records.
Several signals could impact this market before Sep 8, 2026. Official announcements about CZ's speaking engagements, social media posts, or public appearances during the week may increase posting expectations. Conversely, confirmed absences or busy schedules could lower the projected post count. News about platform algorithm changes affecting post visibility might also influence trader sentiment. Any surge in CZ-related discussions or media coverage during the period would likely drive volume and shift probabilities as the market approaches its resolution date.