TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader expectations about CZ's posting behavior during June 9–16, 2026. Unlike traditional polls, which measure sentiment or intent, prediction markets incorporate financial incentives and continuous price discovery. Traders betting on this event must weigh historical posting patterns, CZ's communication habits, and any announced events during that week. This makes market odds a dynamic, forward-looking gauge that often diverges from static survey data or analyst commentary.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the number of posts CZ is expected to make during June 9–16, 2026. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different post-count ranges or thresholds. The price of each outcome reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. As the event window approaches and CZ's actual posting activity becomes visible, prices adjust in real time to reflect new information and trader conviction.
The market resolves on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual number of posts CZ publishes across all social media platforms during the June 9–16, 2026 window. The final count is verified against public records of CZ's social accounts at market close. Traders who correctly predicted the post-count outcome receive their winnings based on the contract terms, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include major crypto market movements, regulatory announcements, or exchange-related news that may prompt CZ to communicate more or less frequently. Technical outages or platform changes could affect his posting capacity. Scheduled interviews, product launches, or personal events during that week might increase engagement. Conversely, periods of reduced activity or CZ's stated communication breaks could lower post counts. Traders monitor his historical posting patterns and upcoming calendar to anticipate shifts in market odds.