TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
CZ # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?
polymarket

CZ # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Volume:
$8,993

<20

 - Polymarket

<20 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.9¢
N/A
$1,299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$903
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$663
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the event that CZ will make a specific number of posts during the week of June 5–12, 2026. You can monitor the current implied probability of each outcome, view 24-hour trading volume at $822, and observe price movement over time. The interface displays the leading outcome and its odds, helping traders and observers assess market sentiment on CZ's social media activity during this exact seven-day window. Historical price charts let you see how conviction has shifted as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money traders' expectations and differ from traditional polling in method and timeliness. While polls survey a sample of respondents at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate continuous financial incentives—traders profit by accurately forecasting CZ's posting frequency during June 5–12, 2026. Markets typically react faster to breaking news and adjust dynamically as the event window approaches. Comparing the two reveals whether market participants expect higher or lower activity than public sentiment might suggest, offering a complementary lens on likely outcomes.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a set of mutually exclusive outcomes representing different post-count ranges or exact numbers for CZ during June 5–12, 2026. Each outcome has its own contract with a price between 0 and 1 reflecting the probability traders assign to it. You can buy or sell shares in any outcome; the current price of a share directly indicates the market's implied probability. As traders update their positions based on CZ's actual posting behavior and market sentiment, prices shift in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any point before resolution on Jun 12, 2026.

The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the June 5–12, 2026 observation window closes. Resolution is determined by the actual number of posts CZ makes during that seven-day period. The specific post-count outcome that matches the real data will be marked correct, and all shares in that outcome will be worth 1.00 while all other outcomes settle to zero. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria and data source are specified in the market's terms.

Several factors could shift odds before the market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. Major crypto market events, regulatory announcements, or exchange-related news may prompt CZ to increase or decrease his social media activity. His personal schedule, travel, or public commitments during June 5–12 could influence posting frequency. Broader sentiment in the crypto community and any controversies or partnerships involving Binance might drive urgency to communicate. As the observation window approaches, traders will refine estimates based on CZ's recent posting patterns and any signals about his planned engagement during that specific week.