TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money traders' expectations and differ from traditional polling in method and timeliness. While polls survey a sample of respondents at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate continuous financial incentives—traders profit by accurately forecasting CZ's posting frequency during June 5–12, 2026. Markets typically react faster to breaking news and adjust dynamically as the event window approaches. Comparing the two reveals whether market participants expect higher or lower activity than public sentiment might suggest, offering a complementary lens on likely outcomes.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a set of mutually exclusive outcomes representing different post-count ranges or exact numbers for CZ during June 5–12, 2026. Each outcome has its own contract with a price between 0 and 1 reflecting the probability traders assign to it. You can buy or sell shares in any outcome; the current price of a share directly indicates the market's implied probability. As traders update their positions based on CZ's actual posting behavior and market sentiment, prices shift in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any point before resolution on Jun 12, 2026.
The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the June 5–12, 2026 observation window closes. Resolution is determined by the actual number of posts CZ makes during that seven-day period. The specific post-count outcome that matches the real data will be marked correct, and all shares in that outcome will be worth 1.00 while all other outcomes settle to zero. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria and data source are specified in the market's terms.
Several factors could shift odds before the market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. Major crypto market events, regulatory announcements, or exchange-related news may prompt CZ to increase or decrease his social media activity. His personal schedule, travel, or public commitments during June 5–12 could influence posting frequency. Broader sentiment in the crypto community and any controversies or partnerships involving Binance might drive urgency to communicate. As the observation window approaches, traders will refine estimates based on CZ's recent posting patterns and any signals about his planned engagement during that specific week.