TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
CZ # posts July 10 - July 17, 2026?
polymarket

CZ # posts July 10 - July 17, 2026?

Volume:
$8,714

20-39

 - Polymarket

20-39 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

20-39

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$522
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between July 10, 12:00 PM ET and July 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between July 10, 12:00 PM ET and July 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the CZ social media activity market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for predictions about how many posts Changpeng Zhao will publish during a specific week in July 2026. The dashboard displays the leading outcome—currently showing strong conviction around a mid-range post count—along with trading volume and participant activity. This allows traders to monitor shifting sentiment as new information emerges and to compare their own expectations against the market's aggregate forecast throughout the tracking period.

Prediction markets and polls measure different things: polls capture stated intentions or snapshots of opinion, while this market reflects traders' real-money bets on an actual, verifiable outcome. Market odds tend to incorporate more recent information and carry financial incentives for accuracy, often diverging from traditional surveys. For social media activity forecasts like this one, prediction markets may prove more responsive to behavioral patterns and platform dynamics than conventional polling, since the outcome is concrete and easily measured after the event concludes.

This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the tracking period closes and the final post count can be verified. The outcome is determined by counting the actual number of posts published during the specified week, confirmed against credible public sources. No ambiguity exists in the measurement itself—either the count falls within one of the predefined ranges or it does not—making this a straightforward event to settle.

Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Major announcements from CZ or Binance might trigger increased social media activity, while regulatory developments or market events could prompt commentary. Changes in his posting habits leading up to the week in question would serve as leading indicators. Additionally, if CZ takes a public stance on trending topics or engages in high-profile disputes, traders may adjust their forecasts upward. Conversely, periods of silence or reduced platform engagement could lower expectations, causing the market to reprice toward lower outcome ranges.