TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 2:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers agree on odds. The current top outcome’s implied probability reflects the most recent bids and asks, adjusted for market depth and liquidity around $22,992. Price fluctuations happen as new information emerges, with volume acting as a signal of confidence or uncertainty in the prevailing view.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official announcements, verified social media activity, and news coverage to determine whether the criteria are met. The process ensures an objective, transparent resolution based on publicly available evidence rather than internal assessments.
Key signals include official announcements from CZ, unexpected social media activity, major developments within the associated organization, and shifts in broader market sentiment. Any indication of planned or spontaneous posts, as well as contrarian news, could dramatically alter this market’s odds. Traders will closely monitor public channels and real-time news feeds for early hints or confirmations that affect expectations.