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CT-01 Democratic primary: Luke Bronin vote percent
kalshi

What will be Luke Bronin's vote percent in CT-01 Democratic primary?

Volume:
$17,891

At least 44%

 - Kalshi

At least 44% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 11:08 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 44%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,884
N/A
N/A
$3,581
10mo 2w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 47%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,932
N/A
N/A
$1,622
10mo 2w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 41%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,478
N/A
N/A
$1,278
10mo 2w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 38%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,078
N/A
N/A
$1,078
10mo 2w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 50%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$746
N/A
N/A
$385
10mo 2w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 53%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
$432
10mo 2w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 56%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,535
N/A
N/A
$1,123
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 59%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,860
N/A
N/A
$800
10mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 62%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,800
N/A
N/A
$1,400
10mo 2w 1d
No
Total markets: 9

Description

The market tracks Luke Bronin's vote share in the 2026 Connecticut's 1st district Democratic primary. It resolves based on the certified percentage of votes he receives compared to various thresholds from 38% up to 100%.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the certified vote percentage for Luke Bronin falls within any of the specified ranges from 38% to 100%. The percentage is calculated from total valid votes, excluding invalid or rejected ballots. Results are based on official certifications, with write-in votes counted if certified. If the election is canceled, postponed, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. Recounts adjusting the percentage before expiration use the most recent certified figure.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price movements for the CT-01 Bronin vote share market, along with its 24-hour volume of $0. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing Luke Bronin's expected vote percentage in the Democratic primary, updated continuously as new bets are placed. The page also displays historical price charts and current top outcome probabilities, giving you a clear view of market sentiment leading up to the election.

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote tally from official election results will determine the exact percentage, closing the market and settling all positions based on the actual result. Timing depends on when authoritative sources publish the certified vote counts post-election.

Debate performance, polling updates, fundraising announcements, and endorsements can all shift this market. News about candidate health, scandals, or campaign strategy changes may also influence trader sentiment. As primary contest dates approach, betting activity often increases, reacting to any developments that affect expectations for Luke Bronin’s vote share. Media coverage and insider leaks may cause short-term volatility leading up to Aug 11, 2027.