TOTAL VOLUME:

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419,492

Markets across

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4,654

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5

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37%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 8PM-8:15PM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$598

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 8PM-8:15PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 8PM-8:15PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 8:15 PM EST

predict

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 8PM-8:15PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$20
$598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T00:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T00:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market displays the current implied probabilities of the price of crude oil going up or down. You’ll find a price history chart showing how these probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the total 24-hour volume traded. Currently, the total volume for this market is $598, with $596 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and track activity related to this specific event.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market reflects expectations about future crude oil prices. It’s common to see prediction market odds diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, as this market incorporates a wider range of information and reflects the collective judgment of many traders. Often, prediction markets can offer an early signal of shifts in expectations that aren't yet reflected in standard analyst reports. Comparing this market to those forecasts can reveal interesting insights into the potential direction of oil prices.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 8:00 PM and 8:15 PM Eastern Time on October 27th. The direction of the price change – whether it goes up or down – will determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will be able to see the final price change and the resulting resolution on Predict.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Geopolitical events, such as unexpected disruptions in oil-producing regions, or announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, could all cause substantial price movements. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, unexpected weather patterns that impact oil infrastructure, or major news regarding alternative energy sources, could all contribute to volatility in this market and affect the odds.