TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$363

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 5:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T08:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T08:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $363, and the total volume traded to date, which is $363. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how actively traders are participating in this particular prediction market. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the price of crude oil is headed.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market reflects a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts. While some analysts predict a continued rise in crude oil prices due to geopolitical factors and supply constraints, the collective wisdom of traders on Predict suggests a more nuanced view. It's important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on specific models and assumptions, whereas this market represents a broader aggregation of diverse perspectives and real-time information. The difference in opinion highlights the value of considering alternative sources of information when evaluating potential market movements.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contracts during the specified trading window. If the price is higher at the close of trading on October 27th than it was at the start of the 4:45AM-5AM ET window, the 'Up' outcome will be considered correct. Otherwise, the 'Down' outcome will prevail, reflecting the direction of price movement during that period.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Unexpected announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions, and shifts in global economic growth forecasts are all potential catalysts. Furthermore, inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and any unforeseen disruptions to oil supply chains, such as weather events or political instability, could also trigger substantial price fluctuations. A sudden change in the US dollar's strength or weakness could also influence the price of crude oil, as it is typically priced in dollars.