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419,492

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 2PM-2:15PM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$1,647

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 2PM-2:15PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 2PM-2:15PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 2:15 PM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 2PM-2:15PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$25
$1,647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T18:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T18:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current implied probabilities of the price of crude oil going up or down. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,637, and the total market volume, which is $1,647. This provides a quick overview of market sentiment and activity surrounding the direction of crude oil prices.

Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently publish price targets and directional recommendations, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of perspectives and real-time adjustments to new information. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate factors that analysts may overlook or underestimate. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market expectations and potential surprises.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 2:00 PM and 2:15 PM Eastern Time on October 27th. If the price is higher at 2:15 PM than at 2:00 PM, the 'Up' outcome will be considered correct; otherwise, the 'Down' outcome will be considered correct.

Several factors could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions, such as the Middle East, are always a key driver. Major economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like Chinese manufacturing data or US GDP figures), could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, or any significant disruptions to oil supply due to weather events like hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, could cause substantial shifts in the odds.