TOTAL VOLUME:

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$181,481,432

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$1,827,991,073

405,996

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40,551

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5

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$81

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 1:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T04:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T04:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $81, and the total volume traded to date, which is $81. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely direction of crude oil prices leading up to the resolution date. The dashboard is designed to give you a clear picture of market sentiment.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a broader range of information and potential influences. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when unexpected events occur or when sentiment shifts rapidly. Comparing this market to expert opinions can offer a valuable contrast and potentially identify overlooked factors affecting crude oil prices.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be higher or lower by the specified resolution time. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective judgment of participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as conditions change, offering a forward-looking assessment of potential price movements.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the front-month crude oil futures contract (WTI) settles higher or lower than its opening price on October 27th, between 12:45 AM and 1:00 AM Eastern Time. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Major geopolitical developments in oil-producing regions, such as unexpected conflicts or political instability, are key catalysts. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like Chinese manufacturing numbers) or US oil inventories, will also have an impact. Furthermore, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, or even unexpected weather events that disrupt supply, could trigger substantial shifts in the odds. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.