TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

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$228,458,490

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2,984,028,936

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$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

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4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

VS.

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63%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$471

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 10:30 AM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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Chance %
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2
$471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T14:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T14:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market displays the current implied probabilities for the price of crude oil to be up or down, reflecting the collective predictions of traders. It also shows a price history chart, visualizing how these probabilities have shifted over time. You’ll find the total volume traded in this market, currently at $471, and the 24-hour volume, which is $471. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment and activity surrounding the direction of crude oil prices.

Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently publish price targets and directional predictions for crude oil, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of opinions and information. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can react more quickly to new information and incorporate a broader set of factors influencing the price of oil. This difference highlights the unique insights available through predictive markets.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the crude oil price will be up or down by the specified time. The prices of these contracts directly translate into implied probabilities. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and traders update their expectations. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 10:15 AM ET and 10:30 AM ET on October 27th. If the price is higher at 10:30 AM ET than at 10:15 AM ET, the ‘up’ outcome will be considered correct; otherwise, the ‘down’ outcome will prevail.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 27, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions, such as disruptions to supply from the Middle East, could cause a rapid price shift. Major economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like Chinese manufacturing numbers or US GDP figures), will also be closely watched. Additionally, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, or even weather forecasts predicting major disruptions to oil infrastructure (hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, for example), could move this market.