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410,482

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-1AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$249

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-1AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-1AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 1:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-1AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T04:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T04:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price going up or down, along with a price history chart reflecting trader sentiment over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $246, and the total market volume, which is $249. This allows you to quickly gauge market activity and see how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available. The dashboard provides a real-time view of what traders believe about the future direction of crude oil.

Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are directly putting capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of data, varying risk appetites, or the incorporation of information not yet reflected in standard analyses. It’s common to see this market anticipate shifts before they are widely acknowledged by conventional forecasts, offering a potentially valuable signal.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the settlement price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contracts on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) at the specified time. The direction of the price change – whether it’s up or down from a defined baseline – will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected on Predict shortly after the official settlement.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or changes in OPEC+ production policies, are key catalysts. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, can also trigger price movements. Furthermore, shifts in inventory levels, refinery outages, and even weather patterns affecting oil transportation could all impact trader sentiment and drive changes in the price of contracts within this market. Keep an eye on these developments for potential trading opportunities.