TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$59

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 1:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$12
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T04:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T04:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks real-time odds reflecting the probability of the price of crude oil going up or down. You'll find a price history chart showing how these probabilities have shifted over time, along with the current 24-hour trading volume of $59. Total volume for this market is currently $59. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. The dashboard provides a clear, visual representation of how participants are assessing the likelihood of a price increase or decrease.

Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and potential influences. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions, biases, or access to information. It’s common to see this market anticipating outcomes that diverge from consensus analyst expectations, potentially offering valuable insights beyond conventional financial analysis. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the future direction of crude oil prices. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective expectations of participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds closely mirror the perceived probability of the outcome. Traders can place limit orders or market orders to participate, and the platform automatically matches buyers and sellers to facilitate trading.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 12:45 AM and 1:00 AM ET on October 23, 2026. A price increase will determine an 'Up' outcome, while a price decrease will determine a 'Down' outcome. The final price will be sourced from publicly available financial data and verified to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or shifts in international relations, are key catalysts. Major economic data releases, including reports on global economic growth, inflation, and consumer demand, can also impact crude oil prices. Furthermore, decisions made by OPEC+ regarding production levels, as well as advancements in alternative energy technologies, could shift market sentiment. Any unforeseen supply shocks or significant changes in global demand patterns are likely to cause volatility in this market.