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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 11AM-11:15AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$161

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 11AM-11:15AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 11AM-11:15AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 11:15 AM EST

predict

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 11AM-11:15AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5
$161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T15:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T15:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current implied probability of the price of crude oil going up or down between 11:00 AM and 11:15 AM ET on October 23rd. It displays the real-time odds, a price history chart showing how probabilities have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $161. Total volume for this market is $161. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and trading activity.

Currently, the odds in this market reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts. While some analysts predict a stable oil price, the collective wisdom of traders on Predict suggests a more volatile outlook. It’s common to see discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and expert opinions, as this market aggregates diverse perspectives and reacts quickly to new information. This difference highlights the unique value of prediction markets in capturing real-time expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is higher or lower at 11:15 AM ET on October 23rd compared to its price at 11:00 AM ET. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or shifts in international relations, could cause rapid price fluctuations. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inventory levels, will also be closely watched. Furthermore, any significant news regarding OPEC+ production decisions or major energy company announcements could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Traders will be reacting to these developments in real-time.