TOTAL VOLUME:

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420,493

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9PM ET
predict

Will crude oil prices go up or down?

Volume:
$141

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 9:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T00:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T00:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price going up or down, along with a price history chart visualizing how those odds have shifted over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $139, and the total volume traded to date, which is $141. This provides a clear picture of market sentiment and activity surrounding the future direction of crude oil prices. The dashboard is updated continuously to reflect the latest trading action.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts are predicting a continued period of volatility, the odds on Predict suggest a different potential outcome. It’s important to note that prediction markets represent a real-money view, incentivizing participants to incorporate all available information, including factors that may not be fully captured in standard financial models. This often leads to a more accurate and timely assessment of future events than polls or expert opinions alone.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the final settlement price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contracts as reported by a major financial exchange during the specified timeframe of 8:45 PM to 9:00 PM Eastern Time on October 22nd. The direction of the price change – up or down – will determine the winning outcome in this market.

Several key signals and events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical developments in major oil-producing regions, such as the Middle East, are always a major catalyst. Changes in OPEC+ production policies, inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), and even significant weather events that disrupt oil supply chains could all impact prices. Furthermore, macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation figures or interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, could influence broader market sentiment and, consequently, the price of crude oil.