TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

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$228,458,490

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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63%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$183

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 7:30 PM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$28
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T23:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T23:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price going up or down, a price history chart showing how probabilities have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $183, with $183 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows participants to monitor market sentiment and activity as they consider their predictions. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely direction of crude oil prices.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While many financial analysts are predicting a moderate increase in crude oil prices due to geopolitical factors, this market reflects a more uncertain outlook. It’s common to see prediction markets diverge from expert opinions, especially when those opinions are heavily influenced by biases or incomplete information. This market aggregates diverse perspectives, potentially offering a more accurate signal of what will actually happen.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contracts as reported by a major financial data provider at the specified time. The direction of the price change – up or down – will determine the winning outcome of this market. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Predict following the event.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 22, 2026. Unexpected announcements from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) regarding production levels, geopolitical instability in major oil-producing regions, or surprising economic data releases from key consuming nations like the United States and China could all impact crude oil prices. Additionally, major weather events that disrupt oil production or transportation, such as hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, could also cause substantial shifts in the odds within this market.