TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

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$323,326,361

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2,984,640,614

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$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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63%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$1,305

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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Chance %
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5
$1,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T03:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T03:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,304, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1,305. This information provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of price movements and the level of interest in this particular market.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts are predicting a relatively stable oil price in the near term, the odds on Predict suggest a more nuanced outlook. It’s common to see discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and expert opinions, as this market incorporates a wider range of information and incentives, reflecting the aggregated judgment of many participants. This difference highlights the potential value of considering prediction market data alongside conventional analysis.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the final settlement price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contracts as reported by a major financial exchange. The direction of the price change – up or down – relative to the price at 11:30 PM ET on October 20th will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official settlement.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 21, 2026. Geopolitical events, such as unexpected disruptions in oil-producing regions or shifts in international relations, are major catalysts. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like manufacturing indices or GDP growth), will also be closely watched. Furthermore, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, or any significant changes in inventory levels reported by the Energy Information Administration, could trigger substantial price movements and, consequently, shifts in the odds within this market.