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416,910

Markets across

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5

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37%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$0

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 3:45 AM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

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Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-19T07:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-19T07:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price movement market tracks the current odds of prices going up or down, providing a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets. It also displays the price history of the market, allowing you to see how sentiment has shifted over time. You’ll find the total volume traded in this market, currently at $0, and the 24-hour volume, which is $0. This information helps you gauge the level of interest and activity surrounding potential crude oil price fluctuations.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential catalysts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when unexpected events occur. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential blind spots in conventional analysis. This market offers a dynamic view, constantly updated by traders responding to new information.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be higher or lower by the specified time. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability of the outcome as perceived by the market participants, and changes rapidly as new information becomes available. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contracts during the specified time window – 3:30AM-3:45AM ET on October 19th. The direction of the price movement, whether up or down, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the verified result shortly after the close of trading.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical developments in major oil-producing regions, such as the Middle East, are always a key factor. Major economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like Chinese manufacturing numbers or US GDP growth), could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, or even unforeseen disruptions to oil supply due to weather events like hurricanes, could cause significant price volatility and shifts in this market’s odds.