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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-10AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 30, 2026, 9:45 AM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-10AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-10AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:15h:23m

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-10AM ET

Amount

$

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predict

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Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
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Liquidity
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24h
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-10AM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 23m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T14:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T14:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current implied probabilities of the price of crude oil going up or down during the specified timeframe. You’ll find a visualization of these odds, along with the price history showing how they’ve changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $0, and the total market volume of $0. This provides a clear overview of market sentiment and activity surrounding this specific event.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates the collective wisdom of many traders, resulting in a probability distribution. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability in this market and the consensus view of analysts, it could suggest that traders believe information not yet fully incorporated into conventional forecasts. It’s important to remember that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses when assessing future price movements.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be up or down during the specified period. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective expectations of the participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability that traders assign to the outcome, and this probability changes dynamically as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of crude oil between 9:45 AM and 10:00 AM Eastern Time on November 6th. Whether the price goes up or down during that timeframe will determine the winning outcome of this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available data sources to ensure an objective and transparent result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 6, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical developments in major oil-producing regions, such as conflicts or production cuts, could cause substantial price swings. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like manufacturing indices or GDP growth figures), will also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels or policy changes could have a major impact on the perceived likelihood of the crude oil price going up or down.