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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 30, 2026, 7:30 AM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 7:45 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:14h:12m

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Amount

$

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predict

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Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 12m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T12:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T12:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current implied probability of the price of crude oil going up or down. You’ll find a real-time display of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has priced in information over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume traded to date is $0. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this commodity.

Currently, the collective wisdom of the crowd on Predict offers a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts are predicting a stable oil price, this market reflects a more nuanced outlook, incorporating a wider range of factors and potential disruptions. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on specific models and assumptions, whereas this market represents a dynamic aggregation of diverse opinions and real-time information. The differences highlight the value of considering alternative forecasting methods.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the future direction of crude oil prices. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of all participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, geopolitical events, and shifts in market sentiment. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to a dynamic and responsive price discovery process for the crude oil price market.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 7:30 AM and 7:45 AM ET on November 6th. The market will determine whether the price moved up or down during that period, and the outcome will be based on that verified price change. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their predictions.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 6, 2026. Unexpected announcements regarding OPEC+ production levels, geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions, or significant shifts in global economic growth forecasts could all impact crude oil prices. Furthermore, inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and unexpected weather events that disrupt oil production or transportation could also trigger price fluctuations. Any news that alters the perceived supply or demand balance for crude oil has the potential to influence trading activity in this market.