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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 30, 2026, 3:15 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 3:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 04d:04h:05m

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Amount

$

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predict

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Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 4 days to resolution
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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 5m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T20:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T20:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market displays the current implied probabilities of the price of crude oil going up or down. You can view the current odds, a price history chart showing how the market has priced the event over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $0. The total volume traded on this market is $0. This information allows traders to assess market sentiment and make informed decisions about where to allocate capital.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide point estimates or ranges for the future price of crude oil, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a probabilistic view of the same outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. It’s common to see this market diverge from polls and expert opinions, particularly when unexpected events or uncertainties influence trader sentiment.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be higher or lower by the specified time. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, trader reactions to news events, and overall market sentiment regarding oil supply, demand, and geopolitical factors.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 3:15 PM and 3:30 PM ET on November 6, 2026, as reported by a widely recognized financial data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and whether their predictions were accurate following the resolution of this market.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Unexpected announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, geopolitical instability in major oil-producing regions, shifts in global economic growth forecasts impacting demand, and even major weather events disrupting supply chains could all influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and any surprising data regarding Chinese oil demand are likely to cause price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their expectations.