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Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Oct 30, 2026, 2:15 AM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 2:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:06h:28m

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Amount

$

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 6h 28m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T07:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T07:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current implied probabilities of the price of crude oil going up or down. You’ll find a real-time view of the odds, a price history chart showing how sentiment has shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume traded to date is $0. This allows participants to gauge market confidence and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific market.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a broader range of information and potential outcomes. Discrepancies can arise from differing assumptions, risk appetites, or access to unique data. It's common to see this market anticipate shifts in sentiment before they are fully reflected in conventional financial forecasts, offering a potentially valuable alternative viewpoint.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the crude oil price will be higher or lower by the specified time. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective predictions of participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds continuously adapt to new information and changing market sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of probabilities.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in the price of crude oil during the specified timeframe, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET on November 6th. The market will determine whether the price moved up or down during that period, and the outcome will be verified against publicly available data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 6, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions, such as supply disruptions or political instability, would likely cause substantial price movements. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand (like manufacturing indices or GDP growth), could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels or changes in inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration could trigger significant activity in this market.